BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 2A Class Rank: 13 Conference: (8-8) Overall: (11-12) Overall Strength =   80.82

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2006 Away    L    77.94  51   64   4A   13 (11-12) CR Washington          -2.89    -10.11                      
  2 12/05/2006 Home    L    84.24  68   71   3A    4 (16- 7) Dubuque Wahlert         3.41     -6.41                      
  3 12/08/2006 Away    W *  94.28  53   35   4A   40 ( 7-15) Davenport West         13.46      4.54                      
  4 12/09/2006 Away    W    95.90  50   30   EX   35 ( 2- 1) Orion IL               15.08      4.92                      
  5 12/12/2006 Home    W *  97.46  63   53   4A   11 (16- 7) Davenport Central      16.64     -6.64                      
  6 12/15/2006 Home    L *  69.89  54   63   4A   30 (11-12) Burlington            -10.93      1.93                      
  7 12/16/2006 Neutral W    87.64  51   33   EX   40 ( 0- 2) Rock Island Alleman     6.82     11.18                      
  8 12/19/2006 Home    L *  75.84  67   69   4A   32 (10-13) Davenport North        -4.98      2.98                      
  9 01/05/2007 Away    W *  94.53  37   34   4A   10 (18- 8) Bettendorf             13.71    -10.71                      
 10 01/09/2007 Away    W * 102.98  54   34   4A   28 (12-11) Clinton                22.16     -2.16                      
 11 01/12/2007 Home    W *  88.44  45   33   4A   35 (12-11) Muscatine               7.62      4.38                      
 12 01/19/2007 Away    L *  69.75  28   42   4A   26 (11-11) Pleasant Valley       -11.07     -2.93                      
 13 01/23/2007 Home    L *  63.65  40   50   4A   39 ( 4-18) Eldridge North Scott  -17.17      7.17                      
 14 01/26/2007 Home    L *  63.42  57   66   4A   40 ( 7-15) Davenport West        -17.40      8.40                      
 15 01/30/2007 Home    L    72.89  39   55   4A    7 (15- 7) Iowa City High         -7.93     -8.07                      
 16 02/02/2007 Away    L *  41.31  22   72   4A   11 (16- 7) Davenport Central     -39.51    -10.49                      
 17 02/07/2007 Away    L *  81.74  54   55   4A   30 (11-12) Burlington              0.92     -1.92  was 02/06 now 02/07 
 18 02/09/2007 Away    L *  73.70  46   54   4A   32 (10-13) Davenport North        -7.13     -0.87                      
 19 02/14/2007 Home    W *  93.67  57   51   4A   10 (18- 8) Bettendorf             12.85     -6.85  was 02/13 now 02/14 
 20 02/16/2007 Home    W *  82.12  43   40   4A   28 (12-11) Clinton                 1.30      1.70                      
 21 02/17/2007 Away    W *  85.30  40   35   4A   35 (12-11) Muscatine               4.48      0.52                      
 22 02/19/2007 Neutral W    96.74  60   26   2A   65 (11-11) Bellevue               15.92     18.08                      
 23 02/22/2007 Away    L    65.45  51   58   2A   31 (19- 7) Goose Lake Northeast  -15.37      8.37                      
      Averages              80.82  49.1 48.8

Best game:  102.98 = 20 point win over Clinton
Worst game:  41.31 = 50 point loss to Davenport Central
Team stdev:  14.62